The 2014 World Series starts in Kauffman Stadium today with the unexpected matchup between the San Francisco Giants and the Kansas City Royals taking baseball’s center stage. For many prognosticators out there, I have a simple way for you to pick this year’s world champion: grab a coin, flip it, heads Royals, and tails Giants.

It may seem absurd that picking a World Series winner is about as easy as flipping a coin, but that about sums up the 2014 MLB post season thus far. Anything you might have expected to happen, any statistic you had, algorithm you made, or formula you’ve sought, throw it out the window because the only thing we know for certain is to expect the unexpected.

If I had told you six months ago that the Kansas City Royals would end a 29 year drought and make it to the World Series, you would have laughed at me. “Let’s see if they make the playoffs first,” you would have said. If I had followed that statement up by telling you they would play the San Francisco Giants, without Matt Cain, Tim Lincecum, and Angel Pagan, you would have again laughed and said “They have to get through the Los Angeles Dodgers first,” well thankfully, the St. Louis Cardinals took care of that job for them and now we have the most improbable of World Series matchups: two wild card teams for the first in fourteen years.

Here’s some perspective: On July 28th, the Royals were five games behind the Detroit Tigers while in the National League West, the Giants were chasing the Dodgers. At the time, the two teams combined odds of winning the World Series (let alone getting there), were just 4 percent. Neither team won their division. Neither team won 90 games. Neither team has a MVP or Cy Young candidate. You will not hear Bruce Bochy or Ned Yost’s name mentioned in any Manager of the Year conversation (although they should) and no matter who wins the World Series, more than likely neither team will be the pre-season favorite to even win their division next year. If these facts surprise you, it’s because they should. If you think you know who’s going to win this year’s World Series and why; you don’t, nobody does, and that is the beauty of the sport right now. But since it’s our job to prognosticate, we will take a shot. We believe the Kansas City Royals will win the 2014 World Series and here are four reasons why:

Kansas City Royals Game One of The World Series starts tonight in Kansas City and we believe it will be the Royals who will win the trophy. Here's Four Reasons Why: Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

#4 The Baseball Gods Are Smiling On The Royals

After nearly thirty years of mediocrity, it appears the baseball deities are blessing the boys in blue. The gods of baseball who can both giveth (the Boston Red Sox) and taketh away (the Chicago Cubs), have seemingly decided that 29 years without a playoff appearance is punishment enough for George Brett and the Royals organization. Throughout the Royals improbable undefeated post season run, it has seemed like every ounce of luck and fortune has been on their side.

Going into the 8th inning in their Wild Card game against the Oakland Athletics, the Royals were down by four runs and facing arguably the game’s best post-season pitcher in Jon Lester. Remarkably, the Royals came back and tied the game, only to win it in extra innings. Whether it was extra innings home runs against the Angels, or a rain delay to give James “Big Game” Shields an extra day of rest in game 4 of the ALCS, fate has definitely seemed to be on the Royals side.

#3 The Royals Bullpen

Thus far in the MLB post-season, everything I have thought was an advantage turned out to not be so. Clayton Kershaw pitching for the Dodgers seemed like automatic wins for Los Angeles; the Nationals were expected to score at least three runs a game, same with the Angels and Orioles. However, if there has been one constant this post season it has been that the Royals bullpen has been lights out. Whether it was the A’s, Angels, or Orioles once the Royals got into the 7th inning with a tie or lead, their opponent could not score.

The Royals three-headed monster out of the bullpen consists of Kelvin Herrera, Wade Davis and closer Greg Holland. Thus far in October, they have combined to pitch over 25 innings for an ERA of 1.04 with 20 strikeouts. During the regular season the trio had a combined average ERA of 1.28. Royals’ manager, Ned Yost, has been aggressive this post season bringing in any of those three out of the bullpen, regardless of the inning or situation. It has worked so far, and if the Royals can get to the 7th inning with a tie or lead in the World Series, good luck Giants.

#2 The Royals’ Cain Is Healthy, The Giants’ Cain Is Not

The San Francisco Giants highest paid player, and arguably their best pitcher, Matt Cain, is undefeated in the World Series. In 2010 he pitched in game one of the World Series against the Texas Rangers and threw a four-hit shutout. In 2012, he followed that up with a head to head victory against Detroit Tigers Cy Young winner, Justin Verlander. This year however, things did not go according to plan and Cain had season-ending elbow surgery on August 4th. But while one Cain’s stock was falling this summer, another’s was rising.

Kansas City Royals outfielder, Lorenzo Cain, has been superhuman this post season. Whether it’s diving catches in the outfield, or clutch home runs on offense, Cain has been a human highlight reel for the Royals. The ALCS MVP catches anything hit in his area code and has been the most clutch hitter for Kansas City on offense. His unselfishness and heart are what will help him lead KC to the World Championship. As the hottest hitter on the Royals team, Cain sacrifice bunted on his own accord during game 4 of the ALCS, which advanced the runner and ultimately lead to the winning run. What other MVP candidate do you know would do that?

#1 It’s The Little Things That Count

Let’s face it; the Royals have been an absolute post season machine as they have plowed through anyone in their path. They swept both the Angels who had the best record in baseball, and the Baltimore Orioles who had never been swept in the post season in their entire franchise’s history. Why? Because they play well in all facets of the game and do the little things needed to win.

The post season has always been about pitching. Just like in the San Francisco Giants past two World Series runs, better defense and pitching can stop the league’s best offense and power hitters. This is the case with the Royals. The Royals were the worst team in baseball in home runs this season, and during the second half of the season, the Giants power numbers declined significantly. This means that runs may be few and far between in the World Series.

The Royals are the best in the business at manufacturing runs. Thanks to their speed, bunts, hit-and-runs, and uncanny ability to not strike out, they are able to scratch out wins without having to score a lot of runs. For the first time in this recent Giants dynasty, they are the team with the better offense going into the World Series. We believe that the Royals will flip the script on San Francisco, and use their own winning model against them.