Democratic President Joe Biden and Republican former president Donald Trump
Democratic President Joe Biden and Republican former president Donald Trump look set for a rematch in 2024. AFP

Joe Biden keeps losing support among the Hispanic electorate as the presidential elections are now less than a year away.

Two polls illustrate the challenges Biden faces with this demographic: according to one by The New York Times/Sienna and focused in six key swing states, the President's support among nonwhite voters dropped 33 points when compared to 2020 results.

Concretely, Biden held a single-digit lead among Hispanics in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. According to Axios, the Democratic Party usually win by 30+ points with this voters from this demographic.

Overall, the poll shows that former President Trump had a 42 percent support from Hispanic voters in the swing states, contrasting with 28 percent in 2016 and 36 percent in 2020, according to the Pew Research Center. Exit polls from 2020 showed that Biden beat Trump by 65 percent to 35 percent among Hispanics.

Hispanic voters have focused on the economy in their assessment of the candidates, and most believe that Trump would do better than Biden in that area: "Hispanic voters are three times more likely to say economic issues are important in deciding their vote than social issues, and are 20 points more likely to trust Mr. Trump over Mr. Biden to handle the economy," reads a passage of the NYT/Sienna poll.

A separate survey by CBS/YouGov showed a similar picture: "Hispanic voters are much likelier to say their finances would improve under Trump than Mr. Biden. And most Black voters do not expect their finances to change if Mr. Biden wins again," says the study.

According to Axios' Russell Contreras, who has studied the Latino vote going back more than six decades, "Hispanic ranchers, Mexican American oil workers and non-college-educated Latino voters are shifting measurably from Democrats, with potentially devastating electoral repercussions." He mentions the opposition to protection for endangered species and efforts to divest from fossil fuels with no immediate alternative for well-paying jobs as some of the main reasons for this.

Moreover, a compilation of polls by NYT/Sienna from two months ago showed that, at a national level, Biden led Trump about 53 to 28 percent among registered Black and Hispanic voters. That compilation showed that the President's support was declining generally: that is across ages, genders and education levels.

But it's Hispanics without a college degree where Biden seems to be doing the worst: He had a 61-23 lead among Black and Hispanic college graduates, compared to a 49-31 lead among those without a four-year degree, the New York Times said.

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