Rep. Jasmine Crockett Leads Colin Allred In Texas Democratic Senate Primary, Republican Poll Shows

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Democratic Rep. Jasmine Crockett leads the party's field in a hypothetical primary to be the Texas senatorial candidate in next year's midterms, according to a poll conducted by Republicans.

Concretely, the survey published by the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) has Crockett ahead with 35% of the support, compared to Allred's 20%. High-profile Texas Democrats Beto O'Rourke and Rep. Joaquin Castro both come in third with 13% of the votes, while an additional 18% chose not to pick a candidate.

The survey was conducted among 566 likely Democratic primary voters and has a margin of error of +/- 3.03%.

Crockett has not voiced her intention to run in the Senate elections next year. She did react to the possibility in an Instagram post on Wednesday, saying "Repubs threw my name into the Texas Senate race... out of fear I guess."

"Allegedly it has me topping the field. I have been so busy in the House. That's been my focus. Depending on how many people reach out we'll determine if there's something to actually consider," she said.

Allred, in contrast, has already launched his campaign. On July 1 he released a video claiming that the Trump administration has been increasing costs for Texans and blaming Cornyn for his role in enabling the scenario. "Texans are working harder than ever, not getting as much time with their kids, missing those special moments, all to be able to afford less," Allred says in a passage of the video.

"And the people that we elected to help, politicians like John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, are too corrupt to care about us and too weak to fight for us," Allred adds, acknowledging that he could end up running against the Texas attorney general.

In fact, a June poll shows Cornyn is trailing Paxton by 22 points in a race pitting two factions of MAGA Republicans against each other. The study, released by the Educational Freedom Institute and conducted by pollster Robert Blizzard, showed Paxton leading Cornyn 50% to 28% among Republican primary voters.

More specifically, the attorney general expanded his lead among voters described as "very conservative GOP primary voters," leading Cornyn 60% to 22%. The poll also showed Paxton leading Cornyn by 35 points among "MAGA voters" and by 12 points among senior voters. President Donald Trump has not endorsed either candidate, with both seeking a decision that could sway the outcome.