US Coronavirus Death Toll Expected To Reach Its Peak In Next 11 Days

The coronavirus pandemic’s death in the U.S. currently stands at 9, 618 with the highest number of infected cases worldwide at 336, 830. But as per the University Of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics’s model grim graph, the worst is yet to come. As per their predictions, the nation will hit its coronavirus peak in 11 days and will register a record death toll of 2,644 people in 24 hours across the nation.

The graph model also shows that the U.S. is just 10 days away from running low on its medical supplies as well, which includes needing 262,092 hospital beds as the number of infected cases increase. This means that the hospitals will be experiencing a shortage of 87,674 beds. And as for the requirement of ICU beds will be 39,727 and as they are also less in number, the shortage will be of 19,863 beds.

These shocking revelations fall in line with what the White House researchers had earlier predicted- that 100,000 to 240,000 Americans will die during the pandemic. The number can exponentially increase if the current social distancing guidelines are not maintained.

The graph model constituted by the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics's researchers also gives a state-by-state breakdown of the death toll and where the hospitals will be under a lot of pressure to accommodate the patients owing to lack of beds and other medical supplies.

So, as per the graph, New York - the epicenter of the outbreak in the U.S. - will register 855 deaths on April 10, the day it reaches its peak and will be needing more than 76,000 beds on April 9.

The state of Illinois will be hitting its peak by August 4 by when it will register 3,386 deaths. In similar patterns, Florida will hit its peak by May 4 and record 175 deaths in 24 hours.

The graph model has used only mortality rates as at the time during which the graph was being made, the number of coronavirus tests done was very low.

“There wasn't enough capacity for testing so we didn't know how many people are positive,” shared Dr. Ali Mokdad, a professor of Health Metrics Sciences at IHME. “[The graphs] remind us that staying home is very helpful. It will make lives on our physicians much easier. We don’t want them to decide which patients are on a ventilator and which aren't as we've seen in other countries, like Italy.”