Donald Trump
Former US President Donald Trump during a campaign rally Photo by Ed Jones/AFP via Getty Images

Former President Donald Trump will hold on Thursday a rally in South Bronx, a neighborhood where almost two thirds of its residents (64%) are Latino, in what will be his first large event of the kind in New York since 2016.

The rally, which will take place in front of several thousands at Crotona Park, will show the response Trump gets from this demographic, with whom his standing has been improving over the years.

Axios reported that the New York Young Republican Trump has been helping the campaign organize the rally, putting up bilingual flyers on storefronts and advertising on electronic billboards in the Bronx.

The visit has been criticized by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who said Trump is "hosting a rally to try to con people ... and by the way, he's doing it in the South Bronx ... because he's got the legal version of an ankle bracelet."

"You can't leave the five boroughs because you always have to be in court. And so it is truly an embarrassment to him," she added. Local Democrats will hold a demonstration of their own at the other end of the park.

President Joe Biden won the Bronx in the 2020 elections with over 83% of the vote, but recent polls show that his standing with voters of color has been decreasing over the years.

According to a recent survey by My Code Media, 44% of Latino men would chose Donald Trump over Joe Biden. When accounting for Latina women, the figure reached a 38% parity. Overall, 84% of all Latino respondents said they intend to vote in the November elections.

At a more granular level, 38% of respondents said they lean Democrat, the figure being 32% for Republicans. An additional 12% said they would split their ticket and a remaining 15% that they haven't made up their mind yet.

Overall, Latinos are more likely than other diversities to lean Republican, the figure being 18% for Blacks, 26% for AANHPI and 22% for LBTQIA+ respondents. The average for all multicultural demographics surveyed was 27%.

This can also be explained by the fact that Latinos were also more likely than others to disapprove of Joe Biden's job so far in his presidency. 46% of respondents gave that answer, compared to 43% who approve. Overall, 45% approved of Biden and 42% disapproved. A similar scenario could be seen when evaluating the performance of Vice President Kamala Harris.

However, Biden doesn't believe his current low polling reflects his actual following and the possibility that he's gaining ground across the country, a report by Axios shows. According to insiders, the incumbent has been telling people both in public and private that his support is steadily growing, so much so that he may even be ahead of Trump.

"The polling data has been wrong all along," Biden said in a rare interview with CNN when he was confronted with his bad polling numbers. "How many— you guys do a poll at CNN. How many folks do you have to call to get one response?"

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