Joe Biden
Students lined a balcony to see Biden give a speech. AFP

As the zero hour for the election of the new tenant of the White House approaches, opinion polls and debates between the pre-candidates, in this case the opposition party, are multiplying.

This week, the second debate between the Republican candidates will take place. The Democratic Party, as usual in US politics, already has its candidate, the current President of the United States, who is seeking a second term.

Polls become another battleground where the major mass media and polling companies throw out their numbers, which sometimes differ and lend themselves to different interpretations by analysts and pundits who emphasize some aspects over others.

Currently, the vast majority of polls show a close race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, but when it comes to minorities, certain numbers are unfavorable to the President when compared to the democratic performance in previous elections.

According to the data of the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, most Democrats do not want the current president in the ticket for the 2024 election. The poll shows that 62% of Democratic or Democratic-leaning respondents want someone other than Biden to be the candidate in 2024, while 33% support him. According to a New York Times / Siena College report, 8% of Latinos who voted for Biden in 2020 are now more inclined toward Donald Trump's candidacy.

But if this is the panorama among the general electorate, the preferences within the minority electorate tell a different story. Biden leads Trump 53 percent to 28 percent among registered nonwhite voters - a sharp drop from the 70 percent of support Biden received from voters of color in the 2020 election.

Another recent poll shows similar overview. Monmouth University found Biden at 67 percent support among Black, Latino and Asian voters — far ahead of Trump but below the usual Democratic consolidation of voters of color.

And among minorities, Latinos are more likely to support Biden. If the presidential election were held today and the candidates were Joe Biden and Donald Trump, 58% of Hispanics would vote for the Democratic president and 31% would vote for the former Republican president according to a recent poll conducted by BSP Research for the Spanish news network Noticias-Univision.

Although Latinos remain overwhelmingly Democratic, the numbers are down from previous presidential campaigns for Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, who received 72% and 71%, respectively. And most worryingly for them, the trend of Hispanics voting Republican continues to rise. Hillary Clinton won 66% in 2016, according to a Pew Research Center poll. Joe Biden 67% in 2020, a trend that has continued in every recent election and is setting off alarm bells within the Donkey Party.

In the 2018 U.S. congressional races nationwide, about 69% of Latinos voted for the Democratic candidate and 29% supported the Republican candidate and despite losing the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump gained ground among Latino voters in several key states he won in 2016. The Republican won 32 percent of the Latino vote, up 4 percentage points (28 percent) from four years earlier.

Not to mention that voting intentions for 2024 as of today are as follows 58% of votes for the Democratic Party to the 31% towards the Republican Party. The survey by BSP research included 1,400 Hispanics registered to vote, 625 of whom were affiliated with the Republican Party.


Among Republican Latinos, former President Donald Trump is the frontrunner for the Republican primary. Furthermore, 50 percent of registered Republican voters who would participate in the Republican primary would vote for Trump according to the cited poll.

The former president (2017-2021) is followed far behind by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 12 percent. Nine percent of Republican Latinos favor businessman Vivek Ramaswamy and 6 percent favor former Vice President Mike Pence. Meanwhile, undecided Republican voters reached 13%.

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