Two household names in college football are set to face off on Sunday as the Notre Dame Fighting Irish plays host to the Navy Midshipmen for the 12th week of the tournament.

Both teams will parade an almost identical win-loss card with Notre Dame holding a 7-2 record and the Midshipmen tallying 7-1. The visitor team may hold a slight edge on W-L card but it hardly affected the odds of the match as the Fighting Irish are favored to grab the match-winner market at a short 1.27 (-370) price compared to their 4.1 (+310) two-way price.

As favorites, Notre Dame is handicapped by 10 points. It’s pretty interesting to see if the Fighting Irish can cover this spread. Let’s check some betting stats.

At this rate, backing Notre Dame in the two-way match winner market is a wise conservative choice. After all, the team is 17-3 straight up in their last 20 games, including an impressive five wins in the last six.

However, the Midshipmen have been torching the spread given to them over the last 12 games, tallying 10-2 ATS in the said stretch.

The match totals, meanwhile, are set at 54 points with the Overs selection priced at 1.96 (-104) and the Unders option at 1.88 (-114). Based on the recorded winning selections on this market over the last nine times these teams squared off, the total has gone OVER seven times; therefore, backing the Overs market might be the impulsive choice. Worth looking, though, is the fact that the total has gone UNDER in four of Notre Dame's last five games, plus the Irish are scoring less compared to the Navy despite their decent offense.

Notre Dame is scoring 34 plus points per game and allowing 19 plus points to opponents per outing. While Navy boasts a cohesive offensive unit that enabled them to uncork a 40 plus point average per game, analysts still expect the Irish to hold its ground on defense and limit the production of the Midshipmen. Going UNDER the total line is the best way to go.


We can smell an impending upset here. The Navy has got the tools to go head-to-head against the Irish and going straight up to them is worth taking. Expect a dog fight with Navy winning, 24-17.

Notre Dame Notre Dame hopes to upend Oklahoma in front of a raucous crowd at Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, Indiana. Getty Images