Trump
Trump denied he had flushed documents down commodes during his White House stint, calling it another fake story. Sean Rayford/Getty Images

If one goes by a new poll, former Donald Trump is ahead of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who is yet to enter the White House race.

FiveThirtyEight has launched its national polling average for the 2024 Republican presidential primary, and it shows that Trump got 49.3% of the national vote. DeSantis, on the other hand, received just 26.2%.

Another potential candidate is former Vice President Mike Pence, who was at 5.8%. As for the declared candidate, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley is at 4.3%.

Some might think that national primary polls are not important because there is only a series of state-by-state contests. Others might feel that it's too early to put much stock in polls. But according to FiveThirtyEight's research, national primary polls that are conducted the year before the election are reasonably predictive of the final nominee. That's true specifically when candidates are polling above about 30% nationally. It's been noticed that they have had a decent chance of becoming the nominee.

In another poll, Trump widened his lead over DeSantis, reported The Hill.

Trump had 56% of the vote among a group of current as well as potential Grand Old Party challengers for the 2024 Republican Party nomination, a Morning Consult poll found.

DeSantis came in second with 23%, and this marks Trump's widest lead in the poll since Morning Consult started tracking the hypothetical primary last December.

Pence came in third with 7% in the new poll. He was followed by Haley with 4% and former Representative Liz Cheney with 3%.

Nearly half of the respondents who said that they supported Trump would consider DeSantis as their second choice. More than 40% of those who prefer DeSantis said that they would support Trump as their next option.

Trump and DeSantis were found by pollsters performing similarly in a hypothetical challenge against President Joe Biden. Trump was trailing by 1 point and DeSantis by 2 points.

Trump and the Governor are seen favorably among Republicans. While nearly 80% of potential GOP primary voters viewed Trump positively, 69% saw DeSantis positively.

No increase in negative feelings toward Trump was found among pollsters since he was recently indicted on 34 felony charges of falsifying business records in New York.

The poll, which was conducted from April 7 to 9 among 3,608 potential Republican primary voters, also found that former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson's announcement last week about joining the race does not appear to have had a major effect on the polling.

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